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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

9%

Boavista

10.80

16%

Draw

6.23

75%

Sporting CP

1.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

12.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

0 – 3

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.71

Boavista xG

Total xG

3.11

2.40

Sporting CP xG

16%
75%
BoavistaDrawSporting CP

10.80

9%

Home win

6.23

16%

Draw

1.34

75%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

9%

Boavista

10.97

49%

Sporting CP

2.04

Win to Nil

1%

Boavista

118.45

37%

Sporting CP

2.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 10.7 12.8 10.2 6.1 2.9
1 3.2 7.6 9.1 7.3 4.4 2.1
2 1.1 2.7 3.3 2.6 1.6 0.7
3 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.715
λ Away (xG) 2.395
Total xG 3.110
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.170
Boavista attack strength 0.666
Boavista defence strength 1.325
Sporting CP attack strength 1.544
Sporting CP defence strength 0.837
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64