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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

20%

Boavista

5.04

31%

Draw

3.26

49%

Santa Clara

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.71

Boavista xG

Total xG

2.00

1.29

Santa Clara xG

20%
31%
49%
BoavistaDrawSanta Clara

5.04

20%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.65

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

28%

Boavista

3.63

49%

Santa Clara

2.04

Win to Nil

5%

Boavista

18.28

24%

Santa Clara

4.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 17.4 11.2 4.8 1.6 0.4
1 9.6 12.4 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 3.4 4.4 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.714
λ Away (xG) 1.289
Total xG 2.003
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.139
Boavista attack strength 0.616
Boavista defence strength 1.313
Santa Clara attack strength 0.862
Santa Clara defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 23