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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Boavista

3.10

34%

Draw

2.93

34%

Estrela

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Boavista xG

Total xG

1.86

0.94

Estrela xG

32%
34%
34%
BoavistaDrawEstrela

3.10

32%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

39%

Boavista

2.57

40%

Estrela

2.50

Win to Nil

13%

Boavista

7.96

13%

Estrela

7.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6 14.7 6.9 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.3 13.5 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 6.5 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.916
λ Away (xG) 0.942
Total xG 1.858
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 1.183
Boavista attack strength 0.648
Boavista defence strength 1.327
Estrela attack strength 0.600
Estrela defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55