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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AVS Win

33%

Boavista

3.04

31%

Draw

3.27

37%

AVS

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Boavista xG

Total xG

2.03

1.05

AVS xG

33%
31%
37%
BoavistaDrawAVS

3.04

33%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

35%

Boavista

2.86

37%

AVS

2.67

Win to Nil

12%

Boavista

8.68

14%

AVS

7.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 13.8 7.2 2.5 0.7 0.1
1 12.9 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 6.3 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.981
λ Away (xG) 1.050
Total xG 2.031
League avg home goals 1.413
League avg away goals 1.116
Boavista attack strength 0.624
Boavista defence strength 1.216
AVS attack strength 0.774
AVS defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 14