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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boavista Win

35%

Boavista

2.85

30%

Draw

3.31

35%

Arouca

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Boavista xG

Total xG

2.10

1.05

Arouca xG

35%
30%
35%
BoavistaDrawArouca

2.85

35%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.35

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

35%

Boavista

2.85

35%

Arouca

2.87

Win to Nil

12%

Boavista

8.13

12%

Arouca

8.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 12.8 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.9 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 6.8 7.1 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.056
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.104
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.158
Boavista attack strength 0.583
Boavista defence strength 1.094
Arouca attack strength 0.827
Arouca defence strength 1.302
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50