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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
68%
1.48
20%
5.02
13%
7.99
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
13.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
12.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.02
Benfica xG
Total xG
2.75
0.73
Nacional xG
BenficaDrawNacional
1.48
68%
Home win
5.02
20%
Draw
7.99
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.22
55%
BTTS No
1.82
Clean Sheet
48%
2.08
13%
7.52
Win to Nil
33%
3.08
2%
60.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 12.9 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 13.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.018
λ Away (xG)
0.731
Total xG
2.749
League avg home goals
1.526
League avg away goals
1.157
Benfica attack strength
1.344
Benfica defence strength
0.797
Nacional attack strength
0.793
Nacional defence strength
0.984
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62