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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

79%

Benfica

1.27

13%

Draw

7.42

8%

Boavista

12.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.84

Benfica xG

Total xG

3.67

0.83

Boavista xG

79%
13%
BenficaDrawBoavista

1.27

79%

Home win

7.42

13%

Draw

12.71

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

44%

Benfica

2.28

6%

Boavista

17.18

Win to Nil

34%

Benfica

2.90

0%

Boavista

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.2
1 7.2 6.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 10.3 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 9.8 8.1 3.3 0.9 0.2
4 6.9 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
5 4.0 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.844
λ Away (xG) 0.826
Total xG 3.670
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.169
Benfica attack strength 1.684
Benfica defence strength 0.823
Boavista attack strength 0.858
Boavista defence strength 1.258
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56