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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
57%
1.76
25%
3.99
18%
5.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.3%
Home win
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.91
Benfica xG
Total xG
2.92
1.01
Arouca xG
BenficaDrawArouca
1.76
57%
Home win
3.99
25%
Draw
5.51
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.80
44%
BTTS No
2.26
Clean Sheet
36%
2.75
15%
6.73
Win to Nil
21%
4.85
3%
37.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.906
λ Away (xG)
1.012
Total xG
2.918
League avg home goals
1.289
League avg away goals
1.218
Benfica attack strength
1.225
Benfica defence strength
0.867
Arouca attack strength
0.957
Arouca defence strength
1.207
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 42