Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
67%
1.50
19%
5.21
14%
7.02
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.17
Benfica xG
Total xG
3.06
0.89
Academico Viseu xG
BenficaDrawAcademico Viseu
1.50
67%
Home win
5.21
19%
Draw
7.02
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
41%
2.44
11%
8.74
Win to Nil
27%
3.66
2%
61.38
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.2 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.0 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.168
λ Away (xG)
0.891
Total xG
3.059
League avg home goals
1.509
League avg away goals
1.127
Benfica attack strength
1.250
Benfica defence strength
0.930
Academico Viseu attack strength
0.850
Academico Viseu defence strength
1.150
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
34 / 0