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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

30%

AVS

3.32

27%

Draw

3.75

43%

Moreirense

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

AVS xG

Total xG

2.50

1.39

Moreirense xG

30%
27%
43%
AVSDrawMoreirense

3.32

30%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

25%

AVS

4.00

33%

Moreirense

3.04

Win to Nil

8%

AVS

13.26

14%

Moreirense

7.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 11.4 7.9 3.6 1.3 0.4
1 9.1 12.7 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.1 7.1 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.113
λ Away (xG) 1.386
Total xG 2.499
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.217
AVS attack strength 0.716
AVS defence strength 1.243
Moreirense attack strength 0.917
Moreirense defence strength 1.202
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 67