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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

18:00

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

17%

AVS

5.88

23%

Draw

4.32

60%

Benfica

1.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.8%

Away win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

AVS xG

Total xG

2.58

1.76

Benfica xG

17%
23%
60%
AVSDrawBenfica

5.88

17%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

1.67

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

17%

AVS

5.82

44%

Benfica

2.26

Win to Nil

3%

AVS

34.18

26%

Benfica

3.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 13.4 11.8 6.9 3.0 1.1
1 6.2 10.9 9.6 5.6 2.5 0.9
2 2.5 4.4 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.4
3 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.815
λ Away (xG) 1.761
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.071
AVS attack strength 0.674
AVS defence strength 1.339
Benfica attack strength 1.228
Benfica defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 46