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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:30

Venue

FC Alverca Sports Complex

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

36%

Alverca

2.79

25%

Draw

3.96

39%

Estoril

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Alverca xG

Total xG

2.80

1.44

Estoril xG

36%
25%
39%
AlvercaDrawEstoril

2.79

36%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

24%

Alverca

4.20

25%

Estoril

3.93

Win to Nil

9%

Alverca

11.71

10%

Estoril

10.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 8.7 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.3 11.9 8.5 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.7 8.1 5.8 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.7 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.368
λ Away (xG) 1.435
Total xG 2.803
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.141
Alverca attack strength 0.856
Alverca defence strength 1.183
Estoril attack strength 1.063
Estoril defence strength 1.078
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66