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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
15%
6.67
22%
4.60
63%
1.58
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.2%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
12.3%
Away win
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.78
Alverca xG
Total xG
2.66
1.87
Benfica xG
AlvercaDrawBenfica
6.67
15%
Home win
4.60
22%
Draw
1.58
63%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
15%
6.51
46%
2.18
Win to Nil
2%
43.46
29%
3.45
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 13.2 | 12.3 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 10.3 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.781
λ Away (xG)
1.874
Total xG
2.655
League avg home goals
1.400
League avg away goals
1.242
Alverca attack strength
0.718
Alverca defence strength
1.339
Benfica attack strength
1.127
Benfica defence strength
0.777
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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