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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 6 Mar 2027

17:00

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

49%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.04

29%

Draw

3.47

22%

Wieczysta Kraków

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.32

0.88

Wieczysta Kraków xG

49%
29%
22%
Zaglebie LubinDrawWieczysta Kraków

2.04

49%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

41%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.42

24%

Wieczysta Kraków

4.20

Win to Nil

20%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.93

5%

Wieczysta Kraków

19.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 8.7 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 14.1 12.5 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.0 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 4.9 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.436
λ Away (xG) 0.882
Total xG 2.318
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.818
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.895
Wieczysta Kraków attack strength 0.850
Wieczysta Kraków defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0