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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

13:45

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

43%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.30

32%

Draw

3.10

24%

Lech Poznan

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.19

0.90

Lech Poznan xG

43%
32%
24%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLech Poznan

2.30

43%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

41%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.47

28%

Lech Poznan

3.60

Win to Nil

18%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.69

7%

Lech Poznan

14.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 10.2 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.4 13.0 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 8.3 3.8 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 0.903
Total xG 2.185
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.164
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.996
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.812
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.956
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.929
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58