Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

19:15

Venue

Orlen Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wisla Plock Win

44%

Wisla Plock

2.28

31%

Draw

3.26

26%

Lech Poznan

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Wisla Plock xG

Total xG

2.45

1.03

Lech Poznan xG

44%
31%
26%
Wisla PlockDrawLech Poznan

2.28

44%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Wisla Plock

2.81

24%

Lech Poznan

4.12

Win to Nil

16%

Wisla Plock

6.42

6%

Lech Poznan

16.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.9 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.6 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 8.9 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.415
λ Away (xG) 1.034
Total xG 2.449
League avg home goals 1.661
League avg away goals 1.244
Wisla Plock attack strength 0.930
Wisla Plock defence strength 0.827
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.005
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49