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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 5 Sep 2026

17:00

Venue

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

32%

Wieczysta Kraków

3.13

29%

Draw

3.41

39%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Wieczysta Kraków xG

Total xG

2.45

1.29

Zaglebie Lubin xG

32%
29%
39%
Wieczysta KrakówDrawZaglebie Lubin

3.13

32%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

27%

Wieczysta Kraków

3.65

32%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.17

Win to Nil

9%

Wieczysta Kraków

11.41

12%

Zaglebie Lubin

8.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 11.2 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 10.0 12.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.8 7.5 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.154
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 2.448
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Wieczysta Kraków attack strength 0.850
Wieczysta Kraków defence strength 1.150
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.969
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.889
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34