Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow – Pre-Match Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Wieczysta Kraków at 35%, yet in-form Wisla Krakow provide a compelling counter-argument — this Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Ekstraklasa encounter, Regular Season - 23 sees Wisla Krakow travel to Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana to take on Wieczysta Kraków. The game is scheduled for Saturday 27 February 2027, 17:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Ekstraklasa games this season, Wieczysta Kraków have gone 1W 2D 5L from 8 outings — a 0.62 PPG return. Last five: L L D L D. They are averaging 1.38 goals per game and conceding 2.12 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.12 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in 75% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for Wieczysta Kraków, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Wisla Krakow — All Games: 5W 2D 2L from 9 Ekstraklasa fixtures this season — 1.89 PPG. Last five: D W D W W. They are scoring at 1.89 per game and conceding 1.33. 2 clean sheets from 9 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 78% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. This season is still relatively young for Wisla Krakow, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Wisla Krakow away from home this season: 0W 2D 2L from 4 away games — 0.50 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 100% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 0.50 is notably below their overall 1.89 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Form points away from home here. Wisla Krakow's 1.89 PPG return is 1.27 points per game ahead of Wieczysta Kraków's 0.62 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
Both teams score in over 75% of each side's relevant games (using overall form). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 1 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for Wieczysta Kraków, 1 for Wisla Krakow and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 29 Aug 2026, ended 0–2 with Wisla Krakow winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
Wieczysta Kraków in-play and half-time data (8 games): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 100% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games; Over 3.5 in 38%.
Wisla Krakow in-play and half-time data (8 games): they score before half-time in 88% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 75% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Wieczysta Kraków 75% and Wisla Krakow 75% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Wieczysta Kraków 62% | Wisla Krakow 62%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Wieczysta Kraków 1.53 xG and Wisla Krakow 1.50 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Wieczysta Kraków attack 0.803 / defence 1.126 | Wisla Krakow attack 1.023 / defence 1.241. League average goals — home 1.538 / away 1.306. Wisla Krakow bring a strong defensive rating of 1.241 — this is suppressing Wieczysta Kraków's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 8 Wieczysta Kraków games / 9 Wisla Krakow games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Wieczysta Kraków 35% | Draw 31% | Wisla Krakow 34%. Fair-value odds: Wieczysta Kraków 2.86 | Draw 3.23 | Wisla Krakow 2.94. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 31% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS probability 64% | Total xG 3.04. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 3.04 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 64% reflects that both xG figures (1.53 / 1.50) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Wieczysta Kraków as the most likely outcome at 35% — marginal model lean. Note a divergence: in-form Wisla Krakow (1.89 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 31% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Wieczysta Kraków offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.04 combined xG gives a 58% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 3.8 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 64% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Wieczysta Kraków 75% | Wisla Krakow 100% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow | Competition: Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 23 | Venue: Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana • Kick-off: Saturday 27 Feb 2027, 17:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Wieczysta Kraków 35% | Draw 31% | Wisla Krakow 34% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% | BTTS 64% | xG Wieczysta Kraków 1.53 / Wisla Krakow 1.50 • Poisson strength factors: Wieczysta Kraków attack 0.803 / def 1.126 | Wisla Krakow attack 1.023 / def 1.241 | league avg home 1.538 / away 1.306 • Poisson stance: Wieczysta Kraków (35%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.53
Wieczysta Kraków xG
Expected Goals
1.50
Wisla Krakow xG
64%
BTTS
84%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow kick off?
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow is scheduled to kick off at 17:00 on Saturday 27 February 2027 at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
Where is Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow being played?
The match is being played at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
What competition is Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow part of?
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow is a Regular Season - 23 fixture in the Ekstraklasa (Poland).
Who is favourite to win Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow?
Our statistical model gives Wieczysta Kraków a 35% chance of winning, Wisla Krakow a 34% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making Wieczysta Kraków the favourite.
Will both teams score in Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow?
Our model estimates a 64% probability that both Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow will score (BTTS).
Will Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow?
Record (1 meetings): Wieczysta Kraków 0W | Draws 0 | Wisla Krakow 1W.
What form are Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow in?
Wieczysta Kraków (all comps): 1W-2D-5L in 8 | 0.62 PPG | GF 1.38 / GA 2.12 | L5 L-L-D-L-D. Wisla Krakow (all comps): 5W-2D-2L in 9 | 1.89 PPG | GF 1.89 / GA 1.33 | L5 D-W-D-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Wieczysta Kraków's attack at 0.80x the league average against Wisla Krakow's defence at 1.24x — combine the two and it projects 1.53 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Wisla Krakow's attack versus Wieczysta Kraków's defence, projects 1.50 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 8/9 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.3%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Wieczysta Kraków Win
35%
2.84
31%
3.25
34%
2.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.53
Wieczysta Kraków xG
Total xG
3.04
1.50
Wisla Krakow xG
2.84
35%
Home win
3.25
31%
Draw
2.94
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.56
36%
BTTS No
2.80
Clean Sheet
22%
4.50
22%
4.63
Win to Nil
8%
12.78
7%
13.61
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.5%.
How many goals are Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow expected to score?
The model projects 1.53 expected goals for Wieczysta Kraków and 1.50 for Wisla Krakow, a combined total of 3.04.
How confident is the prediction model for Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 35%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Wieczysta Kraków's recent record stands at 1W 2D 5L from 8 games, a 0.62 PPG return, with L-L-D-L-D in the last five. The sample for Wieczysta Kraków is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Wisla Krakow, meanwhile, have gone 4W 2D 2L across 8 games — 1.75 PPG, with D-W-D-W-W in their last five. The sample for Wisla Krakow is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Wisla Krakow by 1.13 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Wieczysta Kraków heading into this one.
Goals in Recent Form
Wieczysta Kraków are averaging 1.38 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game recently; Wisla Krakow are on 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Wieczysta Kraków have seen both teams score in 75% of their recent games; Wisla Krakow in 75%.
Last 8 Results — Ekstraklasa
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Wieczysta Kraków
Blended
Wisla Krakow
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow in coming into this match?
Wieczysta Kraków have gone 1W 2D 5L in their last 8 games (0.62 PPG), while Wisla Krakow have gone 4W 2D 2L in their last 8 (1.75 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
1 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2026. Every recorded meeting has come in Ekstraklasa. The two were last together as recently as 29 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Last 1 Meetings
0
Wieczysta Kraków
0
Draws
1
Wisla Krakow
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow?
From 1 meetings on record, Wieczysta Kraków have won 0, Wisla Krakow have won 1, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow last play each other?
They last met on 29 August 2026, when Wisla Krakow 2-0 Wieczysta Kraków.
Who has won more matches between Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow?
Wisla Krakow have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from 1 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Wieczysta Kraków are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches.
Wisla Krakow are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 88% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 38% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Wieczysta Kraków at 75%, Wisla Krakow at 75%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 62% for Wieczysta Kraków and 62% for Wisla Krakow. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 38% and 25% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Wieczysta Kraków home games / Wisla Krakow away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Wieczysta Kraków play Wisla Krakow?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 75% of Wieczysta Kraków's games and 75% of Wisla Krakow's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Krakow usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 62% of Wieczysta Kraków's matches and 62% of Wisla Krakow's.
Do Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Krakow tend to score early?
Wieczysta Kraków have had a goal before half-time in 62% of their recent matches, Wisla Krakow in 88% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.