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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Widzew Łódź cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Motor Lublin.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Widzew Łódź beat Motor Lublin 2-0 at Stadion Widzewa Lodz, Regular Season - 30, in the Ekstraklasa. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Widzew Łódź 1.35 xG and Motor Lublin 1.14 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Motor Lublin landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Widzew Łódź attack 0.82 / defence 0.89 against Motor Lublin attack 1.11 / defence 1.18, drawn from 63/63 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Widzew Łódź 40% | Draw 29% | Motor Lublin 31%, with Widzew Łódź to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Widzew Łódź 46%, Motor Lublin 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Widzew Łódź's trading profile (63 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not.

Motor Lublin's trading profile (63 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Widzew Łódź 1.16 PPG, Motor Lublin 1.40 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Widzew Łódź win broke the near-deadlock. Widzew Łódź (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.16 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.10 average — tighter than their form line. Motor Lublin (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.32 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights