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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stal Mielec Win

38%

Stal Mielec

2.63

26%

Draw

3.91

36%

Gornik Zabrze

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Stal Mielec xG

Total xG

2.75

1.36

Gornik Zabrze xG

38%
26%
36%
Stal MielecDrawGornik Zabrze

2.63

38%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

26%

Stal Mielec

3.88

25%

Gornik Zabrze

4.01

Win to Nil

10%

Stal Mielec

10.21

9%

Gornik Zabrze

11.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.7 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 8.9 12.1 8.2 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.2 8.4 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.390
λ Away (xG) 1.356
Total xG 2.746
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.228
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.870
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.157
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.955
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62