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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:30

Venue

Tarczyński Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

28%

Slask Wroclaw

3.63

24%

Draw

4.12

48%

Pogon Szczecin

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Slask Wroclaw xG

Total xG

2.85

1.66

Pogon Szczecin xG

28%
24%
48%
Slask WroclawDrawPogon Szczecin

3.63

28%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

19%

Slask Wroclaw

5.23

30%

Pogon Szczecin

3.30

Win to Nil

5%

Slask Wroclaw

18.98

15%

Pogon Szczecin

6.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.6 7.9 4.4 1.8 0.6
1 6.9 11.4 9.5 5.2 2.2 0.7
2 4.1 6.8 5.7 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.6 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.194
λ Away (xG) 1.655
Total xG 2.849
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.153
Slask Wroclaw attack strength 0.972
Slask Wroclaw defence strength 1.121
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.281
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.891
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57