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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 8 Aug 2026

17:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

45%

Raków Częstochowa

2.20

29%

Draw

3.43

25%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.37

0.98

Zaglebie Lubin xG

45%
29%
25%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawZaglebie Lubin

2.20

45%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

3.92

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

37%

Raków Częstochowa

2.67

25%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.02

Win to Nil

17%

Raków Częstochowa

5.88

6%

Zaglebie Lubin

15.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.0 12.7 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.9 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.392
λ Away (xG) 0.981
Total xG 2.373
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.026
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.872
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.969
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.888
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34