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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 30 Jan 2027

17:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

59%

Raków Częstochowa

1.70

25%

Draw

4.08

17%

Slask Wroclaw

5.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.67

0.86

Slask Wroclaw xG

59%
25%
17%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawSlask Wroclaw

1.70

59%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

5.97

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

42%

Raków Częstochowa

2.37

16%

Slask Wroclaw

6.06

Win to Nil

25%

Raków Częstochowa

4.04

3%

Slask Wroclaw

36.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 12.5 10.8 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.3 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.8 5.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.802
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 2.665
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.026
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.875
Slask Wroclaw attack strength 0.850
Slask Wroclaw defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0