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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 31 Oct 2026

17:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

47%

Raków Częstochowa

2.11

28%

Draw

3.57

25%

Pogon Szczecin

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.50

1.01

Pogon Szczecin xG

47%
28%
25%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawPogon Szczecin

2.11

47%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

36%

Raków Częstochowa

2.75

22%

Pogon Szczecin

4.46

Win to Nil

17%

Raków Częstochowa

5.79

6%

Pogon Szczecin

18.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.3 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.495
λ Away (xG) 1.010
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.026
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.874
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.996
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.954
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34