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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

13:45

Venue

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

43%

Raków Częstochowa

2.34

26%

Draw

3.89

31%

Motor Lublin

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.94

1.34

Motor Lublin xG

43%
26%
31%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawMotor Lublin

2.34

43%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

26%

Raków Częstochowa

3.83

20%

Motor Lublin

4.95

Win to Nil

11%

Raków Częstochowa

8.95

6%

Motor Lublin

15.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 7.1 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.4 11.3 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 9.1 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.6 4.8 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.599
λ Away (xG) 1.343
Total xG 2.942
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.213
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 0.918
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.041
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.064
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43