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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 1 May 2027

17:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

47%

Raków Częstochowa

2.13

28%

Draw

3.57

25%

Legia Warszawa

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.52

1.03

Legia Warszawa xG

47%
28%
25%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawLegia Warszawa

2.13

47%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Raków Częstochowa

2.79

23%

Legia Warszawa

4.44

Win to Nil

17%

Raków Częstochowa

5.94

6%

Legia Warszawa

17.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 8.3 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 12.3 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.490
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.516
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.025
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.879
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.005
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.952
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34