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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 6 Mar 2027

17:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

40%

Raków Częstochowa

2.52

30%

Draw

3.34

30%

Lech Poznan

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.34

1.07

Lech Poznan xG

40%
30%
30%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawLech Poznan

2.52

40%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

34%

Raków Częstochowa

2.93

28%

Lech Poznan

3.56

Win to Nil

14%

Raków Częstochowa

7.37

9%

Lech Poznan

11.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.3 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.1 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.7 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.269
λ Away (xG) 1.075
Total xG 2.344
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.026
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.875
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.058
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.810
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34