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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 10 Oct 2026

17:00

Venue

zondacrypto Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Raków Częstochowa Win

46%

Raków Częstochowa

2.17

29%

Draw

3.47

25%

GKS Katowice

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Raków Częstochowa xG

Total xG

2.41

0.99

GKS Katowice xG

46%
29%
25%
Raków CzęstochowaDrawGKS Katowice

2.17

46%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

37%

Raków Częstochowa

2.69

24%

GKS Katowice

4.15

Win to Nil

17%

Raków Częstochowa

5.85

6%

GKS Katowice

16.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 8.9 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.7 12.6 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.0 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.424
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.026
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.873
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.977
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.909
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34