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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Radomiak Radom and Slask Wroclaw share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Radomiak Radom and Slask Wroclaw finished level at 1-1 at Stadion Radomiaka, Regular Season - 20, in the Ekstraklasa. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Radomiak Radom 1.54 xG and Slask Wroclaw 1.02 xG, a combined 2.57. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Radomiak Radom attack 0.99 / defence 1.07 against Slask Wroclaw attack 0.83 / defence 1.06, drawn from 53/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Radomiak Radom 48% | Draw 28% | Slask Wroclaw 24%, with Radomiak Radom to win its most likely call at 48%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Radomiak Radom 53%, Slask Wroclaw 47%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Radomiak Radom's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did.

Slask Wroclaw's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Radomiak Radom 1.09 PPG, Slask Wroclaw 1.38 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights