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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Radomiaka

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

38%

Radomiak Radom

2.62

27%

Draw

3.66

34%

Lech Poznan

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

2.44

1.18

Lech Poznan xG

38%
27%
34%
Radomiak RadomDrawLech Poznan

2.62

38%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

31%

Radomiak Radom

3.27

28%

Lech Poznan

3.53

Win to Nil

12%

Radomiak Radom

8.56

10%

Lech Poznan

10.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 10.3 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.9 13.0 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.9 8.2 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.260
λ Away (xG) 1.184
Total xG 2.444
League avg home goals 1.493
League avg away goals 1.231
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.910
Radomiak Radom defence strength 0.948
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.014
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.928
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63