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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

41%

Pogon Szczecin

2.47

28%

Draw

3.55

31%

Jagiellonia

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.90

1.35

Jagiellonia xG

41%
28%
31%
Pogon SzczecinDrawJagiellonia

2.47

41%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

26%

Pogon Szczecin

3.84

21%

Jagiellonia

4.73

Win to Nil

11%

Pogon Szczecin

9.48

7%

Jagiellonia

15.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.4 5.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.6 11.5 7.7 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.9 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.4 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.554
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 2.900
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.209
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.205
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.113
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.000
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.805
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 47