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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 15 May 2027

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

37%

Piast Gliwice

2.70

27%

Draw

3.69

36%

Raków Częstochowa

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.81

1.39

Raków Częstochowa xG

37%
27%
36%
Piast GliwiceDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.70

37%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

25%

Piast Gliwice

4.03

24%

Raków Częstochowa

4.13

Win to Nil

9%

Piast Gliwice

10.89

9%

Raków Częstochowa

11.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.4 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.3
1 8.5 11.9 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.0 8.4 5.9 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.9 4.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.418
λ Away (xG) 1.394
Total xG 2.812
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.944
Piast Gliwice defence strength 1.053
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.141
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.983
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34