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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

57%

Piast Gliwice

1.77

21%

Draw

4.69

22%

Lechia Gdansk

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

2 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

3.44

1.29

Lechia Gdansk xG

57%
21%
22%
Piast GliwiceDrawLechia Gdansk

1.77

57%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

27%

Piast Gliwice

3.65

12%

Lechia Gdansk

8.58

Win to Nil

16%

Piast Gliwice

6.45

3%

Lechia Gdansk

38.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.9 8.9 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.3 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.8 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.150
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 3.444
League avg home goals 1.639
League avg away goals 1.229
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.993
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.923
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.141
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.321
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 45