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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 3 Feb 2026

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

36%

Piast Gliwice

2.75

30%

Draw

3.31

33%

Lech Poznan

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.35

1.15

Lech Poznan xG

36%
30%
33%
Piast GliwiceDrawLech Poznan

2.75

36%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

32%

Piast Gliwice

3.15

30%

Lech Poznan

3.34

Win to Nil

12%

Piast Gliwice

8.65

10%

Lech Poznan

10.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 10.9 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 13.2 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.9 7.9 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.206
λ Away (xG) 1.146
Total xG 2.352
League avg home goals 1.576
League avg away goals 1.239
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.831
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.916
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.009
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.921
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52