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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

35%

Piast Gliwice

2.87

30%

Draw

3.37

35%

Korona Kielce

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.13

1.07

Korona Kielce xG

35%
30%
35%
Piast GliwiceDrawKorona Kielce

2.87

35%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

34%

Piast Gliwice

2.92

35%

Korona Kielce

2.88

Win to Nil

12%

Piast Gliwice

8.39

12%

Korona Kielce

8.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 12.8 6.8 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 12.6 13.5 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.1
2 6.7 7.1 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.057
λ Away (xG) 1.071
Total xG 2.128
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.190
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.810
Piast Gliwice defence strength 1.111
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.810
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62