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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

43%

Piast Gliwice

2.31

28%

Draw

3.63

29%

Gornik Zabrze

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.36

1.03

Gornik Zabrze xG

43%
28%
29%
Piast GliwiceDrawGornik Zabrze

2.31

43%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

36%

Piast Gliwice

2.81

27%

Gornik Zabrze

3.76

Win to Nil

15%

Piast Gliwice

6.49

8%

Gornik Zabrze

12.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.9 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.325
λ Away (xG) 1.033
Total xG 2.358
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.248
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.890
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.943
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.878
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.986
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 34 / 35