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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

17:00

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

32%

Nieciecza

3.12

27%

Draw

3.67

41%

Motor Lublin

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

2.76

1.48

Motor Lublin xG

32%
27%
41%
NiecieczaDrawMotor Lublin

3.12

32%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

23%

Nieciecza

4.38

28%

Motor Lublin

3.62

Win to Nil

7%

Nieciecza

13.67

11%

Motor Lublin

8.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.3 6.9 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 8.1 12.0 8.8 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.2 7.7 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.2 3.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.287
λ Away (xG) 1.477
Total xG 2.764
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 1.169
Nieciecza attack strength 0.772
Nieciecza defence strength 1.211
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.043
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.173
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 58