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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

16:30

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

35%

Nieciecza

2.89

26%

Draw

3.82

39%

Lechia Gdansk

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

3.08

1.59

Lechia Gdansk xG

35%
26%
39%
NiecieczaDrawLechia Gdansk

2.89

35%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

20%

Nieciecza

4.92

23%

Lechia Gdansk

4.44

Win to Nil

7%

Nieciecza

14.21

9%

Lechia Gdansk

11.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 7.3 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 6.8 10.9 8.7 4.6 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.1 6.5 3.4 1.4 0.4
3 2.5 4.0 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.490
λ Away (xG) 1.594
Total xG 3.084
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.175
Nieciecza attack strength 0.804
Nieciecza defence strength 1.328
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.021
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.341
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 67