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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

13:45

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

46%

Motor Lublin

2.17

26%

Draw

3.81

28%

Piast Gliwice

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

2.52

1.07

Piast Gliwice xG

46%
26%
28%
Motor LublinDrawPiast Gliwice

2.17

46%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

34%

Motor Lublin

2.91

23%

Piast Gliwice

4.29

Win to Nil

16%

Motor Lublin

6.33

6%

Piast Gliwice

15.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 8.6 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.5 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.1 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.456
λ Away (xG) 1.069
Total xG 2.525
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.258
Motor Lublin attack strength 0.934
Motor Lublin defence strength 0.989
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.859
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 36