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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

Motor Lublin Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Motor Lublin Win

57%

Motor Lublin

1.76

24%

Draw

4.26

20%

Gornik Zabrze

5.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Motor Lublin xG

Total xG

3.17

1.14

Gornik Zabrze xG

57%
24%
20%
Motor LublinDrawGornik Zabrze

1.76

57%

Home win

4.26

24%

Draw

5.11

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

32%

Motor Lublin

3.12

13%

Gornik Zabrze

7.66

Win to Nil

18%

Motor Lublin

5.48

3%

Gornik Zabrze

39.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.5 9.7 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.9 6.7 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.036
λ Away (xG) 1.138
Total xG 3.174
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.175
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.093
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.060
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.914
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 1.268
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57