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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

16:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

23%

Lechia Gdansk

4.29

30%

Draw

3.29

46%

Lech Poznan

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.17

1.31

Lech Poznan xG

23%
30%
46%
Lechia GdanskDrawLech Poznan

4.29

23%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

27%

Lechia Gdansk

3.71

43%

Lech Poznan

2.35

Win to Nil

6%

Lechia Gdansk

15.94

20%

Lech Poznan

5.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 15.0 9.9 4.3 1.4 0.4
1 9.8 12.8 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 4.2 5.5 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.854
λ Away (xG) 1.312
Total xG 2.166
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.117
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.673
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.215
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.967
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 53