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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

17:00

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

63%

Lechia Gdansk

1.59

18%

Draw

5.49

19%

GKS Katowice

5.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.5%

Home win

1 – 1

7.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.49

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

3.82

1.33

GKS Katowice xG

63%
18%
19%
Lechia GdanskDrawGKS Katowice

1.59

63%

Home win

5.49

18%

Draw

5.24

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.08

Clean Sheet

26%

Lechia Gdansk

3.79

8%

GKS Katowice

12.06

Win to Nil

17%

Lechia Gdansk

6.05

2%

GKS Katowice

63.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 5.4 7.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 6.8 9.0 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.6 7.5 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 3.5 4.7 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.490
λ Away (xG) 1.333
Total xG 3.823
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.207
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.125
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.319
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.838
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.381
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41