Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

49%

Lechia Gdansk

2.03

24%

Draw

4.22

27%

GKS Katowice

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.99

1.24

GKS Katowice xG

49%
24%
27%
Lechia GdanskDrawGKS Katowice

2.03

49%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

29%

Lechia Gdansk

3.47

17%

GKS Katowice

5.75

Win to Nil

14%

Lechia Gdansk

7.06

5%

GKS Katowice

21.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.2 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.8 10.9 6.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.5 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.5 5.6 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.750
λ Away (xG) 1.244
Total xG 2.994
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.243
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.000
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.144
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.875
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33