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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

16:30

Venue

Enea Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

58%

Lech Poznan

1.72

23%

Draw

4.30

19%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

2.73

0.92

Zaglebie Lubin xG

58%
23%
19%
Lech PoznanDrawZaglebie Lubin

1.72

58%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

5.39

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

40%

Lech Poznan

2.51

16%

Zaglebie Lubin

6.13

Win to Nil

23%

Lech Poznan

4.30

3%

Zaglebie Lubin

33.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.8 10.8 5.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.7 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.5 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.813
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 2.732
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.139
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.270
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.892
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.904
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.006
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55