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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

19:15

Venue

Enea Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

55%

Lech Poznan

1.82

24%

Draw

4.15

21%

Korona Kielce

4.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Lech Poznan xG

Total xG

2.62

0.94

Korona Kielce xG

55%
24%
21%
Lech PoznanDrawKorona Kielce

1.82

55%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

4.80

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

39%

Lech Poznan

2.55

19%

Korona Kielce

5.40

Win to Nil

22%

Lech Poznan

4.63

4%

Korona Kielce

25.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.2 11.5 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.8 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.687
λ Away (xG) 0.936
Total xG 2.623
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.180
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.370
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.898
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.883
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.851
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60