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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 9 Dec 2024

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

35%

Korona Kielce

2.82

25%

Draw

4.08

40%

Pogon Szczecin

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

3.04

1.57

Pogon Szczecin xG

35%
25%
40%
Korona KielceDrawPogon Szczecin

2.82

35%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

21%

Korona Kielce

4.81

23%

Pogon Szczecin

4.33

Win to Nil

7%

Korona Kielce

13.58

9%

Pogon Szczecin

10.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 7.5 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 7.0 11.0 8.7 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.1 6.4 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.5 4.0 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.466
λ Away (xG) 1.571
Total xG 3.037
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.214
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.884
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.249
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.036
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51