Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

13:45

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

45%

Korona Kielce

2.22

28%

Draw

3.55

27%

Nieciecza

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.70

1.15

Nieciecza xG

45%
28%
27%
Korona KielceDrawNieciecza

2.22

45%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

32%

Korona Kielce

3.16

21%

Nieciecza

4.72

Win to Nil

14%

Korona Kielce

7.00

6%

Nieciecza

17.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 7.7 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.4 12.0 6.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.3 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.8 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.552
λ Away (xG) 1.150
Total xG 2.702
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.160
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.895
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.153
Nieciecza attack strength 0.860
Nieciecza defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 23