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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

13:45

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

41%

Korona Kielce

2.43

31%

Draw

3.21

28%

Gornik Zabrze

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

1.97

0.86

Gornik Zabrze xG

41%
31%
28%
Korona KielceDrawGornik Zabrze

2.43

41%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

42%

Korona Kielce

2.35

33%

Gornik Zabrze

3.04

Win to Nil

17%

Korona Kielce

5.72

9%

Gornik Zabrze

10.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 12.0 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.5 13.3 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.6 7.4 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 0.856
Total xG 1.968
League avg home goals 1.619
League avg away goals 1.246
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.995
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.688
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.998
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.690
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45