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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

13:45

Venue

Exbud Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

41%

Korona Kielce

2.44

28%

Draw

3.64

32%

GKS Katowice

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.68

1.24

GKS Katowice xG

41%
28%
32%
Korona KielceDrawGKS Katowice

2.44

41%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

29%

Korona Kielce

3.44

24%

GKS Katowice

4.22

Win to Nil

12%

Korona Kielce

8.40

7%

GKS Katowice

13.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.9 12.2 7.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.8 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.441
λ Away (xG) 1.236
Total xG 2.677
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 1.152
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.013
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.011
GKS Katowice attack strength 1.061
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.001
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63