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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 5 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

51%

Korona Kielce

1.97

24%

Draw

4.10

25%

GKS Katowice

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Korona Kielce xG

Total xG

2.83

1.12

GKS Katowice xG

51%
24%
25%
Korona KielceDrawGKS Katowice

1.97

51%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

33%

Korona Kielce

3.07

18%

GKS Katowice

5.51

Win to Nil

17%

Korona Kielce

6.03

4%

GKS Katowice

22.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.3 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.9 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.707
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.828
League avg home goals 1.524
League avg away goals 1.244
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.019
Korona Kielce defence strength 1.011
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.891
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30